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MORNINGTON

R1 12:10 PM R2 12:45 PM R3 1:20 PM R4 2:00 PM R5 2:40 PM R6 3:20 PM R7 4:00 PM R8 4:40 PM

Race 1

12:10 PM
1600m · 11 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Mornington Racecourse ›
🏁 Result
1st AREAAN 📍 Place Pick
2nd ZAMPARINI SPIRIT
3rd TOWNTOTOWN
4th DURNESS (NZ)
✅ Place bet — won outright — AREAAN finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
8
AREAAN P $1.34
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
6
BOY FROM OZ W $7.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. AREAAN FAV TOP RATED 6 $2.60 $1.34 $3.84
5. ZAMPARINI SPIRIT 7 $5.00 $1.90 $8.61
6. BOY FROM OZ 3 $7.50 $2.40 $8.91
7. DR SLUMP 1 $7.00 $2.35 $9.13
9. CHATEAU DANCER 10 $8.50 $2.60 $9.15
10. DURNESS (NZ) 8 $10.00 $2.90 $10.04
11. TOWNTOTOWN 9 $15.00 $3.80 $14.12
3. TASSADAR 4 $23.00 $5.00 $16.88
1. GOLDEN MASK 2 $51.00 $9.00 $35.81
2. IL PENSEROSO 11 $61.00 $9.50 $39.30
4. TENSILE 5 $201.00 $34.00 $108.77
Favourite record at MORNINGTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 this race 29% 83% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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