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KILCOY

R1 1:34 PM R2 2:12 PM R3 2:47 PM R4 3:27 PM R5 4:04 PM R6 4:40 PM R7 5:15 PM R8 5:50 PM

Race 4

3:27 PM
1900m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st BACCARAT ROUGE 💡 Saver
2nd CASTERLY ROCK 📍 Place Pick
3rd CHANCE WITH WOLVES
4th BANDIT
✅ Place bet landed — CASTERLY ROCK ran a place
✅ Saver won — BACCARAT ROUGE finished 1st
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
1
CASTERLY ROCK P $1.36
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
6
BACCARAT ROUGE W $6.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. CASTERLY ROCK FAV TOP RATED 2 $3.30 $1.36 $4.97
5. CHANCE WITH WOLVES 10 $3.90 $1.45 $5.80
6. BACCARAT ROUGE 6 $6.00 $2.05 $6.88
11. BUDDY'S TALE 3 $6.50 $2.15 $7.44
4. HOKKAIDO (NZ) 5 $7.50 $2.25 $8.76
3. CHANGE THE DEEL 11 $11.00 $2.80 $11.65
7. REVELAIDE 7 $17.00 $3.80 $15.82
2. BANDIT 9 $17.00 $3.70 $15.88
10. ZELEZNY 8 $101.00 $10.00 $48.66
Favourite record at KILCOY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.30) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 57% 78% 23*
2.50–3.49 this race 50% 73% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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