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ESPERANCE

R1 3:35 PM R2 4:09 PM R3 4:44 PM R4 5:23 PM R5 6:02 PM R6 6:36 PM R7 7:10 PM R8 7:46 PM

Race 7

7:10 PM
1600m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st GOT LUCKY
2nd TRUE CHANCE ⭐ Best Bet
3rd SMALL TOWN RUBY
4th KALLAROO
〰️ Best Bet placed — TRUE CHANCE ran a place (win bet missed)
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
TRUE CHANCE W $1.75
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
9
HEAVENBENT P $1.65
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. TRUE CHANCE FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.75 $1.18 $2.94
9. HEAVENBENT 10 $4.80 $1.65 $5.95
6. WEST COAST WARRIOR 1 $9.50 $2.45 $10.47
2. DEBONNAIRE 7 $11.00 $2.60 $12.05
11. SMALL TOWN RUBY 2 $17.00 $3.60 $15.79
1. VEVINSKY 5 $15.00 $3.30 $16.56
10. HOBELAR 4 $17.00 $3.60 $16.80
8. KALLAROO 8 $19.00 $3.80 $18.29
5. GOT LUCKY 9 $51.00 $6.00 $32.15
3. BIRDIEAGLE 6 $41.00 $5.75 $34.55
7. PASSION FOR WAR 11 $101.00 $9.00 $64.80
"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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