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HOBART

R1 1:52 PM R2 2:34 PM R3 3:12 PM R4 3:47 PM R5 4:22 PM R6 5:00 PM R7 5:30 PM

Race 3

3:12 PM
1400m · 14 runners
🏁 Result
1st THE LITTLE BAY
2nd SAVAGE RIVER 💡 Saver
3rd WHITE STAR SUZIE
4th LITTLE EL
❌ Unplaced — VORTISTAR didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — SAVAGE RIVER ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
7
VORTISTAR W $1.80
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
5
SAVAGE RIVER P $1.65
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. VORTISTAR FAV TOP RATED 11 $1.80 $1.20 $3.03
5. SAVAGE RIVER 8 $4.60 $1.65 $7.22
13. LITTLE EL 3 $12.00 $3.20 $11.66
6. THE LITTLE BAY 17 $10.00 $2.60 $11.71
11. DA SILVER FLASH 7 $13.00 $3.40 $13.07
4. NORTHERN CHILD 14 $21.00 $4.20 $16.42
14. MISS ESS 4 $23.00 $4.80 $19.80
1. DEEPER WATER 10 $23.00 $4.60 $22.76
9. WHITE STAR SUZIE 6 $34.00 $5.50 $27.93
8. CHEEKY TILLY 5 $61.00 $7.00 $43.79
2. LE COSTA PARADISO 9 $91.00 $8.50 $49.50
12. GRAPHITE POWER 12 $91.00 $9.00 $53.15
15. MISS MABEL 1 $101.00 $11.00 $57.94
3. NARACOOPA 15 $126.00 $13.00 $72.07
Favourite record at HOBART ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 48% 74% 23*
2.50–3.49 37% 70% 46*
3.50–4.99 0% 40% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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