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CRANBOURNE

R1 3:41 PM R2 4:24 PM R3 5:05 PM R4 5:40 PM R5 6:15 PM R6 6:50 PM R7 7:52 PM

Race 5

6:15 PM

1600m · 9 runners

🏁 Result

1st STORM AHEAD 💡 Saver

2nd TSARINE (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet

3rd TIGHT GRIP

4th VIRTUCON

〰️ Best Bet placed — TSARINE (NZ) ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver won — STORM AHEAD finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

TSARINE (NZ) W $1.95

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

STORM AHEAD P $1.30

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
4. TSARINE (NZ) FAV TOP RATED	2	$1.95	$1.16	$2.88
3. STORM AHEAD	10	$3.80	$1.30	$5.39
2. OLIVE BAGUETTE	1	$8.00	$2.05	$8.51
1. WHAT A CROSS	9	$7.00	$1.85	$8.75
10. VIRTUCON	7	$15.00	$3.00	$12.21
9. PIPLUP	3	$23.00	$3.80	$17.78
7. TIGHT GRIP	11	$31.00	$4.40	$21.74
11. ASTERNISHING	4	$81.00	$7.00	$39.01
8. JUSTIN TIMBERPRAWN	5	$61.00	$5.50	$39.37

Favourite record at CRANBOURNE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	52%	86%	29*
2.00–2.49	26%	71%	31*
2.50–3.49	43%	72%	47*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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