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TOWNSVILLE

R1 12:22 PM R2 12:57 PM R3 1:34 PM R4 2:12 PM R5 2:47 PM R6 3:27 PM R7 4:04 PM

Race 2

12:57 PM
1400m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st BANG STICK ⭐ Best Bet
2nd CHANCE
3rd VALUBIOUS
4th ASPEN COWBOY 💡 Saver
✅ Best Bet won — BANG STICK finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
BANG STICK W $1.65
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
3
ASPEN COWBOY P $1.65
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. BANG STICK FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.65 $1.12 $2.83
3. ASPEN COWBOY 2 $6.00 $1.65 $6.61
6. VALUBIOUS 3 $7.00 $1.90 $7.06
5. SUPID DATE 1 $7.50 $2.00 $8.36
11. RED CITY SUN 10 $21.00 $3.60 $17.78
4. NORDIC INVADER 11 $21.00 $3.60 $18.62
8. CHANCE 7 $34.00 $4.60 $22.14
2. NOSEY NEO 5 $34.00 $4.40 $26.74
10. MR OREO 9 $71.00 $6.00 $38.76
7. LOST LAMB 6 $126.00 $9.00 $65.46
Favourite record at TOWNSVILLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 50% 85% 26*
2.00–2.49 52% 68% 25*
2.50–3.49 26% 66% 58*
3.50–4.99 26% 48% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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