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WARWICK FARM

R1 1:20 PM R2 1:55 PM R3 2:30 PM R4 3:05 PM R5 3:40 PM R6 4:15 PM R7 4:50 PM

Race 2

1:55 PM
1200m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st NANDINA
2nd MANUKAU ⭐ Best Bet
3rd LIPSTICK
4th MISS SUPERNOVA 💡 Saver
〰️ Best Bet placed — MANUKAU ran a place (win bet missed)
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
MANUKAU W $1.80
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
14
MISS SUPERNOVA P $1.85
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. MANUKAU FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.80 $1.24 $2.38
14. MISS SUPERNOVA 6 $4.20 $1.85 $4.30
12. LIPSTICK 10 $8.00 $2.90 $6.37
8. DARK FAE 9 $21.00 $5.00 $11.96
15. NANDINA 1 $18.00 $4.80 $12.57
9. EDGE OF INFINITY 4 $101.00 $18.00 $36.44
Favourite record at WARWICK FARM

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 52% 76% 21*
2.50–3.49 32% 65% 31*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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