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DARWIN

R1 3:09 PM R2 5:05 PM R3 5:30 PM R4 5:55 PM R5 6:20 PM

Race 1

3:09 PM
1300m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st JUST ALBERT
2nd DEBATING
3rd ASTERN MAGIC 💡 Saver
4th MAX ROCK
❌ Unplaced — STRAYA PRIDE didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — ASTERN MAGIC ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
4
STRAYA PRIDE P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
8
ASTERN MAGIC W $6.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. STRAYA PRIDE FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.70 $1.30 $4.04
3. JUST ALBERT 2 $3.80 $1.38 $5.66
8. ASTERN MAGIC 5 $6.50 $2.05 $7.31
1. RISING FIRE 9 $8.00 $2.25 $9.01
2. DEBATING 10 $9.50 $2.40 $9.65
6. SABOR 1 $9.00 $2.35 $9.68
5. MARVELOUS NIGHT 6 $19.00 $3.70 $16.27
7. MAX ROCK 3 $21.00 $3.90 $16.81
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 65% 90% 20*
2.00–2.49 45% 90% 31*
2.50–3.49 this race 38% 74% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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