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DARWIN

R1 3:09 PM R2 5:05 PM R3 5:30 PM R4 5:55 PM R5 6:20 PM

Race 5

6:20 PM
1000m · 5 runners
🏁 Result
1st I LOVERAIN
2nd POLARISING
3rd ANECDOTAL 📍 Place Pick
4th OAKLAND RAIDER
✅ Place bet landed — ANECDOTAL ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
2
ANECDOTAL W $2.35·P $1.30
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. ANECDOTAL FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.35 $1.30 $3.40
5. POLARISING 4 $3.60 $1.70 $4.15
3. I LOVERAIN 3 $3.70 $1.70 $4.48
4. OAKLAND RAIDER 1 $6.50 $2.50 $6.77
1. CRIPPS TONITE 5 $12.00 $3.90 $10.60
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.35) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 65% 90% 20*
2.00–2.49 this race 45% 90% 31*
2.50–3.49 38% 74% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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