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PAKENHAM

R1 5:45 PM R2 6:15 PM R3 6:45 PM R4 7:15 PM R5 7:45 PM R6 8:15 PM R7 8:45 PM R8 9:15 PM

Race 1

5:45 PM
2500m · 7 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st KARBURAN (FR)
2nd URBAN OUTLOOK (GB)
3rd MADAME LEXIS
4th THE VOCALIST (NZ)
❌ Unplaced — HANAFUBUKI (NZ) didn't feature
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
2
HANAFUBUKI (NZ) W $2.10·P $1.30
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. HANAFUBUKI (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.10 $1.30 $3.11
1. KARBURAN (FR) 6 $4.40 $2.05 $5.58
3. URBAN OUTLOOK (GB) 2 $4.60 $2.10 $6.23
4. THE VOCALIST (NZ) 7 $7.50 $3.10 $7.83
5. MADAME LEXIS 4 $12.00 $4.20 $10.51
7. MASH AND GRAVY 1 $26.00 $6.00 $15.45
6. DANCING JUICE 5 $31.00 $7.00 $19.58
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.10) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 61% 78% 41*
2.00–2.49 this race 36% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 39% 77% 75
3.50–4.99 11% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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