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LAUNCESTON

R1 5:08 PM R2 5:38 PM R3 6:08 PM R4 6:38 PM R5 7:08 PM R6 7:38 PM R7 8:08 PM R8 8:38 PM

Race 1

5:08 PM
1100m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st ARISTOPOLOS ⭐ Best Bet
2nd MOMENTSLIKETHESE 💡 Saver
3rd TOO POETIC
4th OLINDAH
✅ Best Bet won — ARISTOPOLOS finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — MOMENTSLIKETHESE ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
ARISTOPOLOS W $1.28
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
4
MOMENTSLIKETHESE P $1.75
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. ARISTOPOLOS FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.28 $1.08 $1.90
4. MOMENTSLIKETHESE 3 $5.50 $1.75 $5.70
7. TOO POETIC 2 $12.00 $3.00 $8.33
2. KING CANDY 7 $12.00 $3.00 $11.38
6. PRECIOUS ILLUSION 5 $21.00 $4.20 $18.19
5. OLINDAH 4 $31.00 $5.00 $27.62
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 27% 86% 22*
2.50–3.49 37% 66% 35*
3.50–4.99 14% 57% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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