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LAUNCESTON

R1 5:08 PM R2 5:38 PM R3 6:08 PM R4 6:38 PM R5 7:08 PM R6 7:38 PM R7 8:08 PM R8 8:38 PM

Race 2

5:38 PM

1200m · 10 runners

🏁 Result

1st REDAIR 💡 Saver

2nd BAD ALIBI ⭐ Best Bet

3rd TIGERS ON TOP

4th COLLEEN'S CROWN

〰️ Best Bet placed — BAD ALIBI ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver won — REDAIR finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

BAD ALIBI W $1.70

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

REDAIR P $1.30

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
9. BAD ALIBI FAV TOP RATED	1	$1.70	$1.12	$2.50
10. REDAIR	7	$3.40	$1.30	$4.75
5. COLLEEN'S CROWN	3	$9.00	$2.10	$9.57
3. VINRAAM	5	$12.00	$2.35	$13.45
7. TIGERS ON TOP	11	$19.00	$3.30	$15.32
6. SOMMERREGEN	6	$34.00	$4.60	$26.20
1. DAD SAID YES	2	$34.00	$4.40	$26.77
8. VANSITTART	8	$51.00	$5.50	$32.92
4. ZUVELA	9	$61.00	$5.50	$38.04
2. DARK WINTER	4	$126.00	$8.00	$74.72

Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
2.00–2.49	27%	86%	22*
2.50–3.49	37%	66%	35*
3.50–4.99	14%	57%	21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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