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GEELONG

R1 2:51 PM R2 3:15 PM R3 3:50 PM R4 4:25 PM R5 5:00 PM R6 5:30 PM R7 6:00 PM R8 6:30 PM

Race 4

4:25 PM
1412m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st CASHOUT ⭐ Best Bet
2nd KINGTONDO
3rd TRYST AND DOUBT
4th UPOLU 💡 Saver
✅ Best Bet won — CASHOUT finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
CASHOUT W $1.90
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
7
UPOLU P $1.34
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. CASHOUT FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.90 $1.18 $2.81
7. UPOLU 2 $3.60 $1.34 $4.59
4. KINGTONDO 3 $12.00 $2.70 $11.60
12. SUPERGRACE 8 $17.00 $3.40 $15.69
6. TRYST AND DOUBT 7 $14.00 $3.10 $16.97
11. STELLETTA 10 $26.00 $4.40 $17.16
2. COLIZZI (NZ) 1 $17.00 $3.40 $21.48
3. FLYING GENTRY 11 $23.00 $3.90 $22.90
5. RUSSIAN FIREBIRD 5 $26.00 $4.40 $27.60
10. PRINCESS OF SOL 9 $91.00 $7.50 $40.83
8. YARD OF ALE 6 $151.00 $13.00 $131.07
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 37% 74% 46*
3.50–4.99 23% 59% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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