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LAUNCESTON

R1 5:04 PM R2 5:34 PM R3 6:10 PM R4 6:40 PM R5 7:20 PM R6 7:50 PM R7 8:20 PM R8 8:51 PM

Race 5

7:20 PM
2100m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st JOHNNIE PINCH 📍 Place Pick
2nd IFFYCOULD (NZ)
3rd SNOW EAGLE
4th CAPTAIN MORGAN (NZ)
✅ Place bet — won outright — JOHNNIE PINCH finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
JOHNNIE PINCH P $1.32
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
3
ZURICH W $12.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. JOHNNIE PINCH FAV TOP RATED 11 $2.80 $1.32 $4.49
7. JUDGE JENNI 2 $3.90 $1.50 $5.49
5. SNOW EAGLE 1 $5.00 $1.85 $7.07
3. ZURICH 10 $12.00 $3.30 $11.65
11. MISS TERASITA 4 $11.00 $3.10 $11.86
4. CAPTAIN MORGAN (NZ) 6 $16.00 $3.70 $13.44
8. THIN RED LINE 5 $17.00 $3.90 $15.36
9. FLORENCE GLASS 7 $23.00 $4.80 $19.85
2. IFFYCOULD (NZ) 8 $21.00 $4.60 $23.72
6. STRIDING BAY 3 $51.00 $6.50 $34.68
10. THE CAST OFF 9 $61.00 $8.00 $44.34
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 27% 86% 22*
2.50–3.49 this race 37% 66% 35*
3.50–4.99 14% 57% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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