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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:25 PM R3 2:05 PM R4 2:40 PM R5 3:20 PM R6 3:55 PM R7 4:35 PM

Race 1

12:50 PM

1200m · 8 runners

🏁 Result

1st CALIFORNIA COMMAND 💡 Saver

2nd WILLINGHAM

3rd GOOD'N'YOU ⭐ Best Bet

4th TAHURANGI

〰️ Best Bet placed — GOOD'N'YOU ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver won — CALIFORNIA COMMAND finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

GOOD'N'YOU W $1.95

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

CALIFORNIA COMMAND P $1.34

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
3. GOOD'N'YOU FAV TOP RATED	1	$1.95	$1.16	$2.86
5. CALIFORNIA COMMAND	5	$4.40	$1.34	$5.96
7. WILLINGHAM	10	$5.50	$1.55	$6.34
1. BOLLENTE BOY (NZ)	8	$9.00	$2.10	$9.77
8. FLY THE WIND	2	$13.00	$2.60	$10.53
11. TAHURANGI	4	$31.00	$4.40	$20.09
6. MISS BUGATTI	7	$23.00	$3.70	$20.90
4. MIKKIE	9	$51.00	$5.50	$33.31

Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	56%	84%	25*
2.00–2.49	39%	84%	38*
2.50–3.49	39%	64%	44*
3.50–4.99	30%	57%	30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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