‹ All races

NEWCASTLE

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:25 PM R3 2:05 PM R4 2:40 PM R5 3:20 PM R6 3:55 PM R7 4:35 PM

Race 3

2:05 PM
1150m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st EMBRACE THE WIND ⭐ Best Bet
2nd TENDI
3rd UNJUST
4th TESORINO
✅ Best Bet won — EMBRACE THE WIND finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
EMBRACE THE WIND W $2.00
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
1
AETERNUM P $1.30
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. EMBRACE THE WIND FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.00 $1.18 $3.07
1. AETERNUM 2 $3.60 $1.30 $4.96
3. TENDI 1 $5.50 $1.55 $6.75
5. KINGDOM HEART 10 $8.50 $2.15 $8.57
7. OAKFIELD MARS 7 $16.00 $3.20 $13.98
8. TESORINO 9 $23.00 $3.80 $17.42
9. THE THIRD ONE 6 $91.00 $7.00 $40.55
4. I WANT THIS 8 $101.00 $7.50 $48.22
10. UNJUST 5 $126.00 $8.50 $55.35
6. LUCKY MONKEY 3 $151.00 $11.00 $63.87
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.00) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 this race 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.