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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:25 PM R3 2:05 PM R4 2:40 PM R5 3:20 PM R6 3:55 PM R7 4:35 PM

Race 4

2:40 PM
1150m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st FERINZO ⭐ Best Bet
2nd PERLE DE CHOCOLAT
3rd BIANCA MIA
4th GLENBOWER
✅ Best Bet won — FERINZO finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
FERINZO W $1.70
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
4
STEEL KNIGHT P $2.05
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. FERINZO FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.70 $1.22 $2.55
4. STEEL KNIGHT 7 $5.00 $2.05 $5.83
11. BIANCA MIA 6 $6.00 $2.30 $6.61
9. GEM TYCOON 10 $6.50 $2.35 $6.82
8. PERLE DE CHOCOLAT 1 $18.00 $4.60 $14.23
1. GLENBOWER 9 $41.00 $6.50 $23.88
12. BON ELTON 3 $81.00 $15.00 $39.35
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.