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DARWIN

R1 2:41 PM R2 3:16 PM R3 3:55 PM R4 4:30 PM R5 5:11 PM R6 5:49 PM

Race 1

2:41 PM
1300m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st SASS 📍 Place Pick
2nd GRAYSVILLE
3rd WICKED WISH
4th TEE GALLERIA
✅ Place bet — won outright — SASS finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
7
SASS W $2.20·P $1.32
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. SASS FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.20 $1.32 $2.94
6. TEE GALLERIA 2 $3.80 $1.90 $4.41
1. GRAYSVILLE 6 $5.00 $2.20 $6.82
3. PATYEP 4 $6.50 $2.70 $7.84
5. ANTHONY (NZ) 7 $15.00 $4.80 $14.49
2. NO BRAKES 5 $16.00 $5.00 $16.26
4. WICKED WISH 3 $51.00 $11.00 $35.47
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.20) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 65% 90% 20*
2.00–2.49 this race 45% 90% 31*
2.50–3.49 38% 74% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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