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DARWIN

R1 2:41 PM R2 3:16 PM R3 3:55 PM R4 4:30 PM R5 5:11 PM R6 5:49 PM

Race 2

3:16 PM
1300m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st BRUNO BRUNO
2nd HELL FIRE MISS
3rd TIME TO BACA 📍 Place Pick
4th ITWASONLYAKISS (IRE)
✅ Place bet landed — TIME TO BACA ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
7
TIME TO BACA W $2.10·P $1.22
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
2
RHESUS W $15.00
Form view · saver 9.7% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 40% (5 starts) · Recent form: 2x41
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. TIME TO BACA FAV TOP RATED 6 $2.10 $1.22 $3.19
6. BRUNO BRUNO 1 $3.90 $1.34 $6.18
3. HOTIM ENGLISH 8 $8.00 $2.10 $8.44
8. HELL FIRE MISS 5 $12.00 $2.70 $10.58
1. PRINCE RUBAN 3 $11.00 $2.45 $10.87
4. KING AKEED 7 $12.00 $2.60 $11.95
2. RHESUS 9 $15.00 $3.10 $13.22
5. ITWASONLYAKISS (IRE) 4 $21.00 $3.70 $16.54
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.10) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 65% 90% 20*
2.00–2.49 this race 45% 90% 31*
2.50–3.49 38% 74% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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