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DARWIN

R1 2:41 PM R2 3:16 PM R3 3:55 PM R4 4:30 PM R5 5:11 PM R6 5:49 PM

Race 4

4:30 PM
1200m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st ANKLE ROLEX
2nd BRYCE 📍 Place Pick
3rd I'M A DREAMER
4th MIAMI BABY
✅ Place bet landed — BRYCE ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
1
BRYCE P $1.65
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
2
DESERT MIST W $6.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. BRYCE FAV TOP RATED 6 $3.20 $1.65 $4.26
7. REBELLIOUS HOPE 1 $3.90 $1.95 $4.82
3. MIAMI BABY 7 $4.00 $2.00 $5.06
2. DESERT MIST 3 $6.00 $2.50 $6.83
4. ANKLE ROLEX 8 $8.50 $3.30 $9.08
6. I'M A DREAMER 2 $9.50 $3.50 $9.64
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.20) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 65% 90% 20*
2.00–2.49 45% 90% 31*
2.50–3.49 this race 38% 74% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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