‹ All races

DARWIN

R1 2:41 PM R2 3:16 PM R3 3:55 PM R4 4:30 PM R5 5:11 PM R6 5:49 PM

Race 5

5:11 PM
1100m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st FLY ⭐ Best Bet
2nd PLEASING SMILE
3rd SASSY ABBEY 💡 Saver
4th TOUGH IMPACT
✅ Best Bet won — FLY finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — SASSY ABBEY ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
FLY W $1.70
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
6
SASSY ABBEY P $2.05
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. FLY FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.70 $1.24 $2.70
6. SASSY ABBEY 1 $4.60 $2.05 $5.43
5. PLEASING SMILE 4 $7.50 $2.80 $7.10
4. LITTLE DITTY 3 $14.00 $4.20 $11.88
7. TOUGH IMPACT 7 $13.00 $4.20 $12.27
1. CRIPPS TONITE 2 $14.00 $4.00 $12.89
3. KAL IT MAGIC 6 $15.00 $4.40 $16.49
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 65% 90% 20*
2.00–2.49 45% 90% 31*
2.50–3.49 38% 74% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.