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R1 2:54 PM R2 3:29 PM R3 4:09 PM R4 4:50 PM R5 5:29 PM R6 6:00 PM R7 6:30 PM R8 7:00 PM R9 7:30 PM

Race 3

4:09 PM
1800m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Gollan Racing ›
🏁 Result
1st OUR PALADIN AL ⭐ Best Bet
2nd FLY WITH CAUTION 💡 Saver
3rd ARCADIA PARK (NZ)
4th BATTLE COMMANDER
✅ Best Bet won — OUR PALADIN AL finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — FLY WITH CAUTION ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
OUR PALADIN AL W $1.85
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
3
FLY WITH CAUTION P $1.34
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. OUR PALADIN AL FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.85 $1.12 $2.79
3. FLY WITH CAUTION 3 $4.20 $1.34 $5.92
7. BATTLE COMMANDER 2 $5.50 $1.55 $6.19
2. ARCADIA PARK (NZ) 6 $10.00 $2.20 $9.91
5. OUR NEMESIS 5 $21.00 $3.50 $13.44
1. ARCADIA KNIGHT 7 $21.00 $3.50 $17.61
4. SOWAR 4 $31.00 $4.40 $20.42
8. ATLANTIS BEACH 8 $61.00 $6.75 $33.46
Favourite record at ASCOT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 49% 81% 37*
2.00–2.49 41% 81% 59*
2.50–3.49 24% 58% 85
3.50–4.99 20% 46% 46*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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