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ASCOT

R1 2:54 PM R2 3:29 PM R3 4:09 PM R4 4:50 PM R5 5:29 PM R6 6:00 PM R7 6:30 PM R8 7:00 PM R9 7:30 PM

Race 4

4:50 PM
1200m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Gollan Racing โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st OUR NAUGHTY SECRET
2nd PLAYIN'IT SWEET โญ Best Bet
3rd SHE'S HOT
4th NATURE'S RECKONING
ใ€ฐ๏ธ Best Bet placed โ€” PLAYIN'IT SWEET ran a place (win bet missed)
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
PLAYIN'IT SWEET W $1.75
win โญ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite โ€” market and model in agreement.
5
BASSETT HOUND P $1.26
Saver ยท place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. PLAYIN'IT SWEET FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.75 $1.10 $2.63
5. BASSETT HOUND 2 $3.10 $1.26 $4.43
7. SHE'S HOT 9 $6.00 $1.50 $6.67
8. I'M GENEVIEVE (NZ) 4 $18.00 $3.10 $12.37
2. OUR NAUGHTY SECRET 3 $34.00 $4.20 $20.44
6. MERCURY RISING 10 $34.00 $4.40 $24.09
9. NATURE'S RECKONING 8 $61.00 $5.75 $31.53
3. PLAYING FREE 5 $126.00 $7.50 $54.48
10. PURE 'N' SIMPLE 1 $151.00 $11.00 $76.09
4. PURE MAC 7 $251.00 $15.00 $99.06
Favourite record at ASCOT โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 49% 81% 37*
2.00โ€“2.49 41% 81% 59*
2.50โ€“3.49 24% 58% 85
3.50โ€“4.99 20% 46% 46*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.