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ROSEHILL

R1 11:35 AM R2 12:10 PM R3 12:45 PM R4 1:20 PM R5 1:55 PM R6 2:30 PM R7 3:05 PM R8 3:40 PM R9 4:20 PM R10 5:00 PM

Race 4

1:20 PM
1100m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st ESMAHLI
2nd LULL
3rd ZUMBO 📍 Place Pick
4th SILVER SERENADE
✅ Place bet landed — ZUMBO ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
6
ZUMBO P $1.38
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
5
BETTER LATE W $4.60
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. ZUMBO FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.65 $1.38 $3.42
2. ESMAHLI 6 $3.40 $1.65 $4.28
5. BETTER LATE 4 $4.60 $2.10 $5.00
4. LULL 8 $6.00 $2.40 $6.92
1. SHAGGY 1 $11.00 $3.80 $11.90
8. SILVER SERENADE 5 $41.00 $8.50 $22.09
Favourite record at ROSEHILL ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.65) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 45% 95% 20*
2.50–3.49 this race 38% 69% 48*
3.50–4.99 5% 45% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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