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CRANBOURNE

R1 4:45 PM R2 5:15 PM R3 5:45 PM R4 6:15 PM R5 6:45 PM R6 7:15 PM R7 7:45 PM R8 8:15 PM

Race 1

4:45 PM
1600m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st PHINEAS 📍 Place Pick
2nd ANIMAL
3rd LOWESTOFT
4th BLOOD BROTHER
✅ Place bet — won outright — PHINEAS finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
3
PHINEAS W $2.35·P $1.22
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. PHINEAS FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.35 $1.22 $3.93
6. PRECAMBRIAN 5 $3.90 $1.30 $4.84
1. ANIMAL 9 $4.20 $1.32 $5.04
8. LOWESTOFT 7 $5.00 $1.40 $5.12
4. VADAR (NZ) 2 $19.00 $3.30 $14.16
5. BLOOD BROTHER 4 $31.00 $4.20 $21.66
9. PALENTINE PRINCESS 6 $151.00 $10.00 $69.39
2. DELPHIAN 3 $151.00 $9.00 $71.21
Favourite record at CRANBOURNE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.35) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 52% 86% 29*
2.00–2.49 this race 26% 71% 31*
2.50–3.49 43% 72% 47*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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