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PAKENHAM

R1 5:15 PM R2 5:45 PM R3 6:15 PM R4 6:45 PM R5 7:15 PM R6 7:45 PM R7 8:15 PM R8 8:45 PM

Race 1

5:15 PM
1100m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st FUNDAMENTAL NATURE
2nd AFTERBERNA 💡 Saver
3rd SHAPENAPIT
4th INVINCIBLE LOVER 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — INVINCIBLE LOVER didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — AFTERBERNA ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
8
INVINCIBLE LOVER P $1.60
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
4
AFTERBERNA W $7.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. INVINCIBLE LOVER TOP RATED 6 $4.40 $1.60 $5.00
11. SHAPENAPIT 9 $4.20 $1.55 $5.14
5. FUNDAMENTAL NATURE FAV 7 $3.60 $1.36 $5.19
4. AFTERBERNA 8 $7.50 $2.20 $7.83
9. KIWI HARMONY (NZ) 1 $7.00 $2.20 $8.94
7. GLISK (NZ) 5 $12.00 $3.00 $13.48
1. CONTEMPLATE KATE 3 $17.00 $3.60 $20.89
3. MISS LIL 11 $34.00 $5.25 $28.20
2. LAST PIECE 4 $126.00 $12.00 $64.10
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.60) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 61% 78% 41*
2.00–2.49 36% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 39% 77% 75
3.50–4.99 this race 11% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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