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PAKENHAM

R1 5:15 PM R2 5:45 PM R3 6:15 PM R4 6:45 PM R5 7:15 PM R6 7:45 PM R7 8:15 PM R8 8:45 PM

Race 4

6:45 PM
1000m · 7 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st WINTERY 💡 Saver
2nd SHINJINA 📍 Place Pick
3rd WILTSHIRE SQUARE
4th YOLO
✅ Place bet landed — SHINJINA ran a place
✅ Saver won — WINTERY finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
5
SHINJINA P $1.50
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
6
WINTERY W $7.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. SHINJINA FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.70 $1.50 $4.03
1. HELLO ROMEO (NZ) 6 $5.00 $2.30 $6.35
4. FROSTNIP 4 $5.50 $2.45 $6.74
6. WINTERY 5 $7.50 $3.20 $7.62
8. KIWI RAIDER (NZ) 2 $9.00 $3.70 $9.03
3. WILTSHIRE SQUARE 1 $10.00 $3.80 $9.49
2. YOLO 7 $10.00 $3.80 $10.10
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 61% 78% 41*
2.00–2.49 36% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 this race 39% 77% 75
3.50–4.99 11% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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