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PAKENHAM

R1 5:15 PM R2 5:45 PM R3 6:15 PM R4 6:45 PM R5 7:15 PM R6 7:45 PM R7 8:15 PM R8 8:45 PM

Race 6

7:45 PM
1400m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st BONS TO RICHES
2nd NIC'S CHOICE
3rd OROVERO
4th TSARINE (NZ) 💡 Saver
❌ Unplaced — ALIANO didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
ALIANO W $1.55
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
10
TSARINE (NZ) P $2.05
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. ALIANO FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.55 $1.09 $2.51
10. TSARINE (NZ) 13 $8.50 $2.05 $8.48
7. JEWEL BAY 7 $8.50 $2.05 $8.96
2. BONS TO RICHES 3 $12.00 $2.30 $11.25
4. OROVERO 8 $13.00 $2.40 $12.33
9. NIC'S CHOICE 4 $16.00 $2.90 $14.30
6. UNDERSTUDY (NZ) 5 $21.00 $3.30 $15.71
5. POWER CABLE 1 $41.00 $4.60 $26.01
11. MISLEAD 12 $51.00 $5.25 $33.72
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 61% 78% 41*
2.00–2.49 36% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 39% 77% 75
3.50–4.99 11% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.