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PAKENHAM

R1 5:15 PM R2 5:45 PM R3 6:15 PM R4 6:45 PM R5 7:15 PM R6 7:45 PM R7 8:15 PM R8 8:45 PM

Race 7

8:15 PM

1200m · 6 runners

📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›

🏁 Result

1st HEDGED

2nd VEIGHT

3rd WAR MACHINE (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet

4th NADAL 💡 Saver

〰️ Best Bet placed — WAR MACHINE (NZ) ran a place (win bet missed)

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

WAR MACHINE (NZ) W $1.36

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

NADAL P $1.60

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
1. WAR MACHINE (NZ) FAV TOP RATED	2	$1.36	$1.08	$1.92
5. NADAL	4	$5.50	$1.60	$5.51
4. HEDGED	1	$10.00	$2.45	$8.60
2. VEIGHT	3	$18.00	$3.70	$12.61
3. MAHARBA	5	$20.00	$3.90	$13.99
7. CANNONBALL	7	$71.00	$8.00	$33.78

Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99	61%	78%	41*
2.00–2.49	36%	72%	39*
2.50–3.49	39%	77%	75
3.50–4.99	11%	50%	36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.