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LAUNCESTON

R1 4:23 PM R2 4:53 PM R3 5:23 PM R4 5:53 PM R5 6:23 PM R6 6:53 PM R7 7:23 PM R8 7:53 PM

Race 4

5:53 PM
1400m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st BENEFICIARY ⭐ Best Bet
2nd THEM'S THE BREAKS
3rd GIE IT LALDY
4th CELTIC ROSE
✅ Best Bet won — BENEFICIARY finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
BENEFICIARY W $1.26
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
11
VANITY STAR P $2.00
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. BENEFICIARY FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.26 $1.03 $2.08
11. VANITY STAR 5 $9.00 $2.00 $9.30
3. BUNKER JAKO 12 $13.00 $2.35 $12.58
8. DIESEL'S SUNSHINE 1 $13.00 $2.35 $13.74
2. THICKSKINNED 4 $23.00 $3.40 $18.31
6. THONATUS 3 $26.00 $3.60 $19.33
7. THEM'S THE BREAKS 8 $26.00 $3.60 $21.65
5. CELTIC ROSE 11 $34.00 $4.20 $21.72
12. WHOLESOME (NZ) 6 $71.00 $5.75 $35.32
4. CHALONG 7 $101.00 $7.00 $49.31
10. GIE IT LALDY 9 $201.00 $12.00 $78.16
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 27% 86% 22*
2.50–3.49 37% 66% 35*
3.50–4.99 14% 57% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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