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TOWNSVILLE

R1 11:54 AM R2 12:35 PM R3 1:09 PM R4 1:45 PM R5 2:20 PM R6 2:55 PM R7 3:35 PM R8 4:14 PM R9 4:49 PM

Race 4

1:45 PM
1400m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st PRINCE AKEEM
2nd BUFFET BUSTER 📍 Place Pick
3rd NIPPA'S NIGHTCAP
4th CHAPARRAL CHASE
✅ Place bet landed — BUFFET BUSTER ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
5
BUFFET BUSTER P $1.34
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
12
STORE BEACH W $12.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. BUFFET BUSTER FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.90 $1.34 $4.50
8. PRINCE AKEEM 7 $4.40 $1.65 $5.87
3. NIPPA'S NIGHTCAP 12 $5.00 $1.85 $6.85
1. KING'S HALO 5 $7.00 $2.25 $8.64
12. STORE BEACH 3 $12.00 $3.30 $12.85
4. BRASCO 11 $18.00 $3.90 $16.62
7. TRAPEZE PLEASURE 10 $17.00 $3.80 $17.69
9. ROOM FOR SQUARES 2 $23.00 $4.80 $17.96
10. FLASHBANG 8 $31.00 $5.50 $23.64
11. CHAPARRAL CHASE 9 $41.00 $6.00 $28.62
2. REFORMIST 4 $101.00 $11.00 $53.62
Favourite record at TOWNSVILLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 48% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 52% 68% 25*
2.50–3.49 this race 27% 65% 55*
3.50–4.99 22% 43% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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