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CAULFIELD

R1 10:20 AM R2 10:50 AM R3 11:20 AM R4 11:50 AM R5 12:25 PM R6 1:00 PM R7 1:35 PM R8 2:10 PM R9 2:45 PM R10 3:25 PM

Race 5

12:25 PM
1100m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st LA ASTRO CHAT
2nd ALONG THE RIVER
3rd EXPULSION 📍 Place Pick
4th SALSA FELLOW
✅ Place bet landed — EXPULSION ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
10
EXPULSION P $1.80
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
8
DAMEHOOD (NZ) W $6.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
10. EXPULSION FAV TOP RATED 6 $3.60 $1.80 $4.76
4. DECLARED 3 $3.60 $1.80 $5.07
8. DAMEHOOD (NZ) 9 $6.00 $2.60 $6.76
9. LA ASTRO CHAT 8 $7.50 $3.20 $7.37
2. ALONG THE RIVER 7 $6.50 $2.80 $7.45
1. SALSA FELLOW 2 $7.50 $3.10 $7.86
7. MR MAGNUS 5 $34.00 $8.00 $21.02
Favourite record at CAULFIELD ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.60) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 43% 71% 21*
2.50–3.49 28% 75% 36*
3.50–4.99 this race 36% 69% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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