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NEWCASTLE

R1 12:30 PM R2 1:05 PM R3 1:40 PM R4 2:15 PM R5 2:50 PM R6 3:30 PM R7 4:10 PM R8 4:45 PM

Race 5

2:50 PM
1850m ยท 14 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st TWISTED LOVE (NZ) ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
2nd CUESTA (NZ)
3rd THINK WE'RE THERE
4th DE LOUVIERE (IRE)
โŒ Unplaced โ€” VASALA didn't feature
โœ… Saver won โ€” TWISTED LOVE (NZ) finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win โ€” place or pass.
5
VASALA P $1.38
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
11
TWISTED LOVE (NZ) W $11.00
Saver ยท small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form โ€” a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. VASALA FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.70 $1.38 $4.85
19. DE LOUVIERE (IRE) 9 $8.00 $2.75 $10.17
3. CAN'T RECALL ONE (NZ) 17 $7.00 $2.45 $10.67
11. TWISTED LOVE (NZ) 6 $11.00 $3.40 $12.63
10. CUESTA (NZ) 13 $12.00 $3.60 $13.07
4. SUNSOURCE 4 $16.00 $4.20 $14.98
6. YABBY PUMP 16 $12.00 $3.60 $15.95
9. PELEVECCHIO 11 $17.00 $4.40 $16.24
17. THINK WE'RE THERE 18 $21.00 $5.25 $18.59
18. SOUTHERN SKY 14 $19.00 $5.00 $19.23
13. DYNAST KING 15 $23.00 $5.50 $20.81
8. MONTY BE QUICK (IRE) 5 $26.00 $5.50 $21.71
1. ALL HUNKY DORY (IRE) 7 $34.00 $6.00 $29.19
16. WOLF CLUB (NZ) 8 $91.00 $15.00 $48.11
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50โ€“3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 56% 84% 25*
2.00โ€“2.49 39% 84% 38*
2.50โ€“3.49 this race 39% 64% 44*
3.50โ€“4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.