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Race 5

2:35 PM
1100m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st ARISTOPOLOS ⭐ Best Bet
2nd MOMENTSLIKETHESE 💡 Saver
3rd SOVEREIGN DASH
4th OLINDAH
✅ Best Bet won — ARISTOPOLOS finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — MOMENTSLIKETHESE ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
ARISTOPOLOS W $1.45
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
6
MOMENTSLIKETHESE P $1.28
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. ARISTOPOLOS FAV TOP RATED 10 $1.45 $1.05 $2.19
6. MOMENTSLIKETHESE 2 $3.90 $1.28 $4.67
10. COPPER REIGN 9 $7.50 $1.60 $9.33
7. TOO POETIC 4 $26.00 $3.40 $17.08
4. SOVEREIGN DASH 7 $34.00 $3.80 $22.04
2. KING CANDY 8 $51.00 $4.60 $29.20
5. TSUYOI KITSUNE 3 $34.00 $3.90 $32.46
8. OLINDAH 1 $41.00 $4.40 $35.90
9. PRECIOUS ILLUSION 6 $81.00 $5.50 $40.08
Favourite record at HOBART ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 48% 76% 21*
2.50–3.49 36% 69% 45*
3.50–4.99 0% 48% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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