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GEELONG

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Race 4

1:55 PM
1140m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st KEEP IT REAL 📍 Place Pick
2nd INCONTESTABLE
3rd HARRY DE LAD
4th SHE'S LOADED
✅ Place bet — won outright — KEEP IT REAL finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
6
KEEP IT REAL W $2.15·P $1.16
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. KEEP IT REAL FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.15 $1.16 $3.18
5. INCONTESTABLE 2 $3.60 $1.28 $4.71
3. BRUTAL COMMAND 5 $4.80 $1.34 $6.05
10. SHE'S LOADED 9 $7.50 $1.80 $7.02
4. HARRY DE LAD 6 $11.00 $2.20 $9.75
8. PRINCE PIENZA 8 $41.00 $4.60 $26.35
1. MR BURT 4 $201.00 $11.00 $72.12
7. KOYUGA RIP 1 $201.00 $11.00 $87.26
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 37% 74% 46*
3.50–4.99 23% 59% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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