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EAGLE FARM

R1 1:38 PM R2 2:13 PM R3 2:48 PM R4 3:23 PM R5 3:58 PM R6 4:33 PM R7 5:10 PM R8 5:45 PM

Race 4

3:23 PM
1600m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Lauren Abbott Racing ›
🏁 Result
1st NAVAL SEAL
2nd I'M HEROIC
3rd SPANISH FOX 📍 Place Pick
4th MORE TROUBLE (NZ)
✅ Place bet landed — SPANISH FOX ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
SPANISH FOX P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
7
GIVING DELIGHT W $14.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. SPANISH FOX FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.90 $1.28 $4.31
6. MORE TROUBLE (NZ) 9 $4.40 $1.40 $5.38
4. I'M HEROIC 4 $4.20 $1.40 $5.40
3. NAVAL SEAL 6 $5.00 $1.50 $5.97
7. GIVING DELIGHT 8 $14.00 $3.00 $11.42
9. SIR BEVERIDGE 5 $18.00 $3.50 $12.62
8. MOOTESSA 2 $41.00 $5.50 $24.13
5. ASPEN COLORADO (GER) 7 $91.00 $7.50 $47.31
Favourite record at EAGLE FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 55% 85% 20*
2.00–2.49 41% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 this race 22% 62% 74
3.50–4.99 19% 54% 48*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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