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PAKENHAM

R1 4:45 PM R2 5:15 PM R3 5:45 PM R4 6:15 PM R5 6:45 PM R6 7:15 PM R7 7:45 PM R8 8:15 PM

Race 1

4:45 PM
1100m · 5 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st TOUGH ROMANCE ⭐ Best Bet
2nd STELLAR CIPHER
3rd AROUND THE MARX 💡 Saver
4th BLUE JEANS TALK
✅ Best Bet won — TOUGH ROMANCE finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — AROUND THE MARX ran a place
Dominant favourite Strong
Trust the favourite — market and model agree. Win-bet race.
4
TOUGH ROMANCE W $1.50
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
1
AROUND THE MARX P $2.10
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. TOUGH ROMANCE FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.50 $1.12 $1.90
1. AROUND THE MARX 1 $7.00 $2.10 $7.54
2. BASSTON 4 $7.00 $2.10 $7.67
3. STELLAR CIPHER 5 $8.50 $2.35 $9.03
5. BLUE JEANS TALK 2 $12.00 $3.10 $10.09
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 61% 78% 41*
2.00–2.49 36% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 39% 77% 75
3.50–4.99 11% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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