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PAKENHAM

R1 4:45 PM R2 5:15 PM R3 5:45 PM R4 6:15 PM R5 6:45 PM R6 7:15 PM R7 7:45 PM R8 8:15 PM

Race 6

7:15 PM
1000m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st TUSCALOOSA GEM ⭐ Best Bet
2nd STAHNADO
3rd SMASH BLUE 💡 Saver
4th STORMBOURG
✅ Best Bet won — TUSCALOOSA GEM finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — SMASH BLUE ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
7
TUSCALOOSA GEM W $1.50
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
6
SMASH BLUE P $1.40
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. TUSCALOOSA GEM FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.50 $1.06 $2.32
6. SMASH BLUE 11 $6.00 $1.40 $6.22
4. STORMBOURG 4 $9.50 $1.95 $9.52
9. STAHNADO 1 $13.00 $2.25 $10.88
3. DAPPER DON 8 $17.00 $2.50 $14.30
11. LYCHEE GREEN TEA 3 $31.00 $3.80 $17.63
5. OCEANSPRINT 5 $26.00 $3.50 $20.28
1. COUNT OF TOULOUSE 7 $41.00 $4.20 $28.29
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 61% 78% 41*
2.00–2.49 36% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 39% 77% 75
3.50–4.99 11% 50% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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