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CANTERBURY

R1 5:00 PM R2 5:30 PM R3 6:00 PM R4 6:30 PM R5 7:00 PM R6 7:30 PM R7 8:00 PM

Race 1

5:00 PM
1550m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st SO REBELLIOUS
2nd VIVA MAURICIO
3rd DEFENDANT
4th BAJA BABY 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — BAJA BABY didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
BAJA BABY P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
6
ALMANZAS (NZ) W $6.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. BAJA BABY FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.60 $1.26 $4.10
5. EQUINOX LEGEND 8 $3.60 $1.30 $4.40
6. ALMANZAS (NZ) 1 $6.00 $1.75 $6.75
3. EXPLICIT 7 $10.00 $2.30 $10.07
4. VIVA MAURICIO 5 $11.00 $2.40 $10.76
7. SO REBELLIOUS 6 $20.00 $3.60 $12.95
2. DEFENDANT 4 $15.00 $3.10 $15.52
8. SAVEUR 3 $31.00 $4.60 $21.26
Favourite record at CANTERBURY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 36% 77% 22*
2.50–3.49 this race 27% 62% 37*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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