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MORPHETTVILLE

R1 10:58 AM R2 11:29 AM R3 12:02 PM R4 12:37 PM R5 1:12 PM R6 1:47 PM R7 2:22 PM R8 2:57 PM R9 3:37 PM R10 4:17 PM R11 5:00 PM

Race 6

1:47 PM
1600m · 5 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Morphettville Racecourse ›
🏁 Result
1st SURPRISE COMING 💡 Saver
2nd WILD WINNER
3rd DARKNCONFIDENTIAL
4th TEARDROP ROTATION 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — TEARDROP ROTATION didn't feature
✅ Saver won — SURPRISE COMING finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
5
TEARDROP ROTATION P $1.38
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
7
SURPRISE COMING W $6.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
1
DARKNCONFIDENTIAL W $7.50
Form view · saver 9.6% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 40% (5 starts) · Recent form: 162x
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. TEARDROP ROTATION FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.60 $1.38 $3.32
4. I CATCHEM FOX 5 $2.80 $1.40 $3.62
7. SURPRISE COMING 7 $6.00 $2.50 $6.59
1. DARKNCONFIDENTIAL 8 $7.50 $3.00 $7.02
8. WILD WINNER 3 $9.00 $3.60 $7.75
Favourite record at MORPHETTVILLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 53% 77% 30*
2.50–3.49 this race 22% 53% 64
3.50–4.99 22% 40% 58*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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