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EAGLE FARM

R1 12:18 PM R2 12:53 PM R3 1:28 PM R4 2:03 PM R5 2:38 PM R6 3:17 PM R7 3:57 PM R8 4:32 PM R9 5:10 PM R10 5:48 PM

Race 8

4:32 PM
1400m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Lauren Abbott Racing ›
🏁 Result
1st BATTLEFIELD 📍 Place Pick
2nd SER JOH
3rd SHOW SOME DECORUM
4th RED DEFCON
✅ Place bet — won outright — BATTLEFIELD finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
2
BATTLEFIELD P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
6
CASTILLIAN (NZ) W $6.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. BATTLEFIELD FAV TOP RATED 10 $2.90 $1.30 $4.23
5. SER JOH 2 $4.20 $1.50 $5.64
6. CASTILLIAN (NZ) 1 $6.50 $2.05 $7.36
8. JUST FLYING 9 $8.00 $2.30 $8.85
10. RED DEFCON 11 $13.00 $3.30 $12.31
11. TAKE A PICTURE 8 $17.00 $3.80 $13.44
1. ATMOSPHERE 3 $17.00 $3.70 $13.62
7. DEEP RESPECT 7 $17.00 $3.70 $16.03
9. SHOW SOME DECORUM 4 $31.00 $5.25 $21.63
Favourite record at EAGLE FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 55% 85% 20*
2.00–2.49 41% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 this race 22% 62% 74
3.50–4.99 19% 54% 48*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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