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IPSWICH

R1 1:44 PM R2 2:19 PM R3 2:54 PM R4 3:34 PM R5 4:14 PM R6 4:49 PM R7 5:29 PM

Race 1

1:44 PM

2150m · 8 runners

🏁 Result

1st ALASKA DE LUNE

2nd MONTEVECCHIO 💡 Saver

3rd PROUD MISS ⭐ Best Bet

4th PREACHABULL

〰️ Best Bet placed — PROUD MISS ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver placed — MONTEVECCHIO ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

PROUD MISS W $1.65

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

MONTEVECCHIO P $1.28

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
8. PROUD MISS FAV TOP RATED	7	$1.65	$1.09	$2.36
3. MONTEVECCHIO	3	$3.80	$1.28	$5.99
4. ALASKA DE LUNE	8	$6.50	$1.45	$6.95
5. JUST BEAUTY	9	$14.00	$2.35	$11.04
7. PREACHABULL	5	$21.00	$3.20	$16.64
9. RED VEGAS	1	$31.00	$3.90	$18.92
6. OUR ESPRIT	4	$51.00	$4.80	$29.76
1. I'M THAT GUY (NZ)	2	$51.00	$4.80	$35.84

Favourite record at IPSWICH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	64%	93%	28*
2.00–2.49	38%	86%	37*
2.50–3.49	21%	63%	75
3.50–4.99	30%	53%	47*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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