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DARWIN

R1 1:59 PM R2 2:32 PM R3 3:08 PM R4 3:48 PM R5 4:26 PM R6 5:02 PM R7 5:33 PM

Race 7

5:33 PM
1000m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st POLARISING 📍 Place Pick
2nd MIAMI VICE 💡 Saver
3rd TEARS ARE FLOWING
4th ANECDOTAL
✅ Place bet — won outright — POLARISING finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — MIAMI VICE ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
5
POLARISING P $1.55
place only
Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.
2
MIAMI VICE W $6.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. POLARISING FAV TOP RATED 4 $3.00 $1.55 $4.04
4. TEARS ARE FLOWING 7 $4.00 $2.00 $5.18
3. ANECDOTAL 3 $4.20 $2.05 $5.72
2. MIAMI VICE 1 $6.50 $2.70 $6.53
1. HELL AND BACK 5 $12.00 $4.20 $10.40
6. OAKLAND RAIDER 2 $17.00 $5.00 $13.70
7. TOUGH IMPACT 6 $20.00 $5.75 $16.11
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.00) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 65% 90% 20*
2.00–2.49 45% 90% 31*
2.50–3.49 this race 38% 74% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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