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NEWCASTLE

R1 1:05 PM R2 1:40 PM R3 2:15 PM R4 2:50 PM R5 3:30 PM R6 4:10 PM R7 4:45 PM

Race 2

1:40 PM
1500m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st ETOILE FILANTE ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ALAMAGAN
3rd RULE OF FAITH
4th DAMASCUS CALLING
✅ Best Bet won — ETOILE FILANTE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
ETOILE FILANTE W $1.75
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
6
PLAYFUL PUZZLE P $1.34
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. ETOILE FILANTE FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.75 $1.10 $2.69
6. PLAYFUL PUZZLE 3 $5.00 $1.34 $6.06
3. ALAMAGAN 8 $7.50 $1.75 $7.07
5. RULE OF FAITH 7 $7.50 $1.75 $7.58
2. DAMASCUS CALLING 6 $8.50 $1.90 $8.97
7. THE FINAL SAY 1 $61.00 $5.50 $32.45
4. FLATS 4 $101.00 $6.50 $36.80
8. FARRAIGE (NZ) 2 $126.00 $7.00 $49.58
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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