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SUNSHINE COAST

R1 12:55 PM R2 1:35 PM R3 2:10 PM R4 2:50 PM R5 3:25 PM R6 4:10 PM R7 4:45 PM R8 5:15 PM

Race 4

2:50 PM

1600m · 6 runners

📍 Our record & guide for Sunshine Coast Turf Club ›

🏁 Result

1st WILD GYPSY 💡 Saver

2nd FAMILY OF LEAGUE

3rd NOBLE DECREE (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet

4th HELL FOLLOWS

〰️ Best Bet placed — NOBLE DECREE (NZ) ran a place (win bet missed)

✅ Saver won — WILD GYPSY finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

NOBLE DECREE (NZ) W $1.90

win ⭐ Best Bet

Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.

WILD GYPSY P $1.32

Saver · place

Saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
1. NOBLE DECREE (NZ) FAV TOP RATED	8	$1.90	$1.24	$2.69
3. WILD GYPSY	1	$2.90	$1.32	$3.64
5. FAMILY OF LEAGUE	9	$5.50	$2.10	$5.75
9. HELL FOLLOWS	7	$15.00	$4.20	$12.20
7. TAMBOURINE MAN	2	$23.00	$5.25	$16.37
8. BRAZEN KINGDOM (NZ)	4	$51.00	$8.00	$27.74

Favourite record at SUNSHINE COAST ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
1.50–1.99 this race	67%	93%	27*
2.00–2.49	43%	70%	40*
2.50–3.49	30%	63%	63
3.50–4.99	29%	66%	38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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