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NEWCASTLE

R1 1:10 PM R2 1:45 PM R3 2:20 PM R4 2:55 PM R5 3:30 PM R6 4:10 PM R7 4:50 PM

Race 5

3:30 PM
1150m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st NEW PHAROAH 📍 Place Pick
2nd CUPID'S KISS
3rd ENSIGN PARKER
4th GRASSBURN (NZ)
✅ Place bet — won outright — NEW PHAROAH finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
NEW PHAROAH P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
5
IVY DIVA W $6.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. NEW PHAROAH FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.60 $1.26 $3.89
2. ENSIGN PARKER 5 $5.50 $1.60 $6.47
5. IVY DIVA 2 $6.00 $1.75 $6.62
3. GRASSBURN (NZ) 3 $6.00 $1.75 $7.13
6. TWILIGHT ROCK 6 $10.00 $2.30 $9.56
7. BROKEN WINGS 8 $16.00 $3.30 $12.68
4. LOVE CHILD (NZ) 4 $15.00 $3.10 $13.72
8. CUPID'S KISS 7 $41.00 $5.50 $24.67
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 56% 84% 25*
2.00–2.49 39% 84% 38*
2.50–3.49 this race 39% 64% 44*
3.50–4.99 30% 57% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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