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GRAFTON

R1 12:50 PM R2 1:25 PM R3 2:05 PM R4 2:40 PM R5 3:15 PM R6 3:50 PM R7 4:30 PM

Race 7

4:30 PM
1400m · 11 runners
🏁 Result
1st NEXT PAY RUN ⭐ Best Bet
2nd CHANGE THE DATE
3rd INTOXEL 💡 Saver
4th UNDER THE CAP
✅ Best Bet won — NEXT PAY RUN finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — INTOXEL ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
NEXT PAY RUN W $1.75
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
9
INTOXEL P $1.90
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. NEXT PAY RUN FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.75 $1.16 $2.81
9. INTOXEL 1 $6.50 $1.90 $7.55
3. CHANGE THE DATE 9 $8.00 $2.15 $9.15
8. BOW 5 $8.00 $2.15 $9.17
2. UNDER THE CAP 3 $15.00 $3.20 $13.67
5. LEICA MODEL (NZ) 4 $21.00 $3.70 $18.63
11. SPILLS 8 $26.00 $4.60 $19.58
10. MONTGOMERY 13 $31.00 $4.80 $23.41
4. SIX FOOT SONG 6 $51.00 $5.50 $36.42
7. BELIEVE SO 7 $61.00 $6.00 $36.73
1. PEONY (GB) 10 $91.00 $7.50 $55.40
Favourite record at GRAFTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 22% 74% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.