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EAGLE FARM

R1 1:38 PM R2 2:13 PM R3 2:48 PM R4 3:23 PM R5 3:58 PM R6 4:33 PM R7 5:10 PM R8 5:45 PM

Race 6

4:33 PM
1400m · 5 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Lauren Abbott Racing ›
🏁 Result
1st MORAVIA ⭐ Best Bet
2nd HELL TO PAY 💡 Saver
3rd VOS SAVANT
4th DON'TCHA THINK
✅ Best Bet won — MORAVIA finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — HELL TO PAY ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
9
MORAVIA W $1.30
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
6
HELL TO PAY P $1.36
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. MORAVIA FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.30 $1.05 $1.84
6. HELL TO PAY 6 $5.00 $1.36 $5.23
11. VOS SAVANT 9 $8.00 $2.00 $6.21
2. DON'TCHA THINK 12 $21.00 $3.80 $13.92
13. STOICISM (NZ) 2 $71.00 $6.50 $29.71
Favourite record at EAGLE FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 55% 85% 20*
2.00–2.49 41% 72% 39*
2.50–3.49 22% 62% 74
3.50–4.99 19% 54% 48*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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