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CRANBOURNE

R1 5:15 PM R2 5:45 PM R3 6:15 PM R4 6:45 PM R5 7:15 PM R6 7:45 PM R7 8:15 PM R8 8:45 PM

Race 1

5:15 PM
1000m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st BLACK COAL ⭐ Best Bet
2nd HARRY DE LAD 💡 Saver
3rd LAST PIECE
4th PURSUANT
✅ Best Bet won — BLACK COAL finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — HARRY DE LAD ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
BLACK COAL W $1.65
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
5
HARRY DE LAD P $1.80
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. BLACK COAL FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.65 $1.18 $2.54
5. HARRY DE LAD 8 $4.80 $1.80 $5.03
6. PURSUANT 2 $5.50 $2.05 $5.26
7. JUMPIN' JEWELLETTE 6 $13.00 $3.70 $9.87
2. BRUTAL FORCE 4 $41.00 $6.00 $23.03
3. DARE TOO EXCITE 5 $26.00 $5.25 $23.53
8. LAST PIECE 3 $71.00 $12.00 $33.55
Favourite record at CRANBOURNE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 52% 86% 29*
2.00–2.49 26% 71% 31*
2.50–3.49 43% 72% 47*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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