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MORPHETTVILLE

R1 11:25 AM R2 11:58 AM R3 12:32 PM R4 1:07 PM R5 1:42 PM R6 2:17 PM R7 2:52 PM R8 3:27 PM R9 4:07 PM R10 4:49 PM

Race 7

2:52 PM

2006m · 10 runners

📍 Our record & guide for Morphettville Racecourse ›

🏁 Result

1st KOMACHI (IRE) 📍 Place Pick

2nd CRIMSON VINE (NZ) 💡 Saver

3rd ISUSPECTJEU (NZ)

4th ARUGAMAMA

✅ Place bet — won outright — KOMACHI (IRE) finished 1st

✅ Saver placed — CRIMSON VINE (NZ) ran a place

Open race Thin

No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.

KOMACHI (IRE) P $1.38

place only

Open race with no standout. Our model's top pick for a place bet.

CRIMSON VINE (NZ) W $8.50

Saver · small win

Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
3. KOMACHI (IRE) FAV TOP RATED	8	$3.20	$1.38	$4.95
2. DARKNCONFIDENTIAL	10	$4.40	$1.65	$6.24
7. CRIMSON VINE (NZ)	3	$8.50	$2.45	$8.89
4. KIRKLISTON BLU	11	$9.00	$2.50	$9.65
1. ARUGAMAMA	5	$8.00	$2.40	$9.78
8. ISUSPECTJEU (NZ)	1	$14.00	$3.70	$11.88
11. FULL OF COURAGE (NZ)	2	$15.00	$3.80	$12.87
9. CONNI ISLAND	6	$15.00	$3.80	$13.44
5. EVENTUALLY	4	$31.00	$5.50	$20.40
10. SENTIMENTAL FLAME	9	$41.00	$7.25	$29.10

Favourite record at MORPHETTVILLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.20) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
2.00–2.49	53%	77%	30*
2.50–3.49 this race	22%	53%	64
3.50–4.99	22%	40%	58*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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